Infectious Disease Simulation

  1. How quickly a disease will spread in a population
  2. How many people in a population will contract the disease
  • Population: 4,200,000
  • Vaccinated population: 5%, 15%, 25%
  • Transmission probability: 8%-25%, in increments of 2%
  • Number of people an infected person comes into contact with per day: 6 people
The above chart compares the impact vaccination has on the number of days an infectious disease spreads in a population, depending on the transmission probability
The above chart compares the impact vaccination has on the number of susceptible but healthy people in a population, depending on the transmission probability
The above chart compares the impact vaccination has on the number of people who become infected in a population, depending on the transmission probability
  1. A transmission probability less than 8%; percentage of people vaccinated did not matter
  2. Percentage of people vaccinated in the population greater than 29% with transmission probability equal to 15%
  1. Population Size
  2. Infectious disease transmission probability
  3. The percentage of people vaccinated in the population
  4. How many people an infected person comes into contact with each day
  1. Carrier period: Diseases have different infection time periods. By inputting carrier periods, the user would be able to simulate the spread of different disease
  2. Number of people infected in the initial population: Public health authorities become aware of an infectious disease spreading in their population at different times. If they are “late,” they may become aware of its presence when 100 or 1,000 people are infected rather than 1 person. Therefore, asking the user to input how many people are initially infected essentially starts the simulation at different points in the spread
  3. Vaccinating people each day in the simulation: In reality, a vaccine could be introduced into a population as the disease is still active. For example, the COVID-19 vaccine will be introduced in the coming months while the disease is still active. To simulate this, the model can vaccinate people each day of the simulation. The number of people vaccinated can be input by the user.

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Texas Ex . Entrepreneurship, Latin America, Sub Saharan Africa. Aerospace Engineering.

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Anthony Doe

Anthony Doe

Texas Ex . Entrepreneurship, Latin America, Sub Saharan Africa. Aerospace Engineering.

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